June 18, 2013

The NFL Filled With Constant Predictions

On this site every week during the NFL season we do a story about how “The Browns Will Win If…” where we discuss what the Browns need to do (or how many opposing team members need to be on the injury report) in order for the Browns to win the week’s game.  In some cases we make predictions about how a quarterback, running back, or team unit like the offensive line will play against a given opponent in a given week.  And as Scott linked this morning in the WWW there are about a million places to look and find predictions for the season.  Even in picking fantasy teams or joining Survivor Pools it seems that the NFL has become more about predicting things than ever before.  Even the analysts on the pre-game shows are constantly asked to predict winners and sometimes even final scores.  It makes me wonder if we’ve lost a bit of the joy that made us all football fans at the beginning.

I am sure a lot of people want me to stop right here.  The NFL is at an all-time high in popularity.  It is the number one sport in the nation, easily eclipsing baseball and basketball not to mention hockey, Nascar, soccer and pro bowling.  Fantasy football, survivor pools, and gambling (legal and otherwise) are major contributors to the popularity of the sport.  Obviously all three of those things lead to constant predictions by analysts, bloggers and pretty much every other fan out there.

Have we lost something in the translation though?  I know that we at WFNY are completely guilty of predicting things too.  So consider this a momentary glance in the mirror in addition to the 50,000 foot scan of the world.  I am starting to get the feeling that predictions are the new lists.  VH1 loves lists whether they are talking about celebrity breakups or 80′s movies.  Rolling Stone loves lists whether they are talking about the greatest albums of all time or the greatest guitarists of all time.  Even in our personal lives, how many of us have used that application on facebook to rank the five people we would most like on our side in a fight or brawl?  Or worse yet, the biggest guilty pleasure TV shows that we watched growing up?  (Come on people, I know I wasn’t the only one who watched Perfect Strangers and Urkel.)

The point is this.  I predict things so much now that it is sometimes hard for me to put all that stuff away and just be a fan on Sundays when the Browns play whomever.  Instead of rooting for the Browns to upset the Steelers, I am too busy talking myself into the notion that it could never happen because that is what my analysis and predictions led me to write a few days earlier.  And instead of rooting as hard as I can for whichever players are wearing the orange and brown uniforms, I am sitting critically looking at draft picks knowing that the Browns could have picked different people.

I think all the constant predictions has changed us as sports fans.  Instead of being passive consumers of the product that just roots their hearts out for a team, we all now feel empowered to say we know better than everyone.  We know better than all the owners.  We know better than the GMs.  We know better than the head coaches.  We know better than the scouts and coordinators.  Or at least we think we do on a lot of occasions.  While that increases the interest level in the sport as we all obsess over stats, game films, and the fake fantasy waiver wires, it changes the relationship we have with the sport.   I am not so sure that the new rules that dictate the nature of our relationship with football have created the best possible realtionship.

I am starting to get the feeling that for a lot of us it is almost joyless now.  Then again, maybe this is just the perspective of a Cleveland fan.  Maybe the new relationship that we, as Clevelanders, have with the game of football is filled with predictions almost like a giant defense mechanism from allowing ourselves to get crushed as hard as the team seems to want to crush us since 1999.  I don’t know for sure.  I am just starting to work through this idea in my head so I don’t have a hard conclusion.  But as I go through this season talking about the Browns before the game and with my Bullet Point articles after the fact, will be sure to keep it in mind.  I will keep it in mind if for no other reason than so I can somehow install a switch in my brain so that I can maybe get back to the place where I enjoy the contest for what it is.  I want to  enjoy my team for being able to potentially win every game as opposed to not being able to win a certain number even before the first official snap of the season.

  • http://www.waitingfornextyear.com Denny

    My top five people to have in a fight with me:

    1) Drederick Tatum – he’s unstoppable
    2) Calvin Stadiums – the most charismatic and talented basketball player ever
    3) Usain Bolt – he’s fast and has a good reach
    4) Haile Gebrselassie – he’s fast and can handle pain for extended periods of time
    5) Eli – he’s got a good reach and an intimidating goatee

  • Eli

    I see what your saying Craig, but for me all the obsessing about predictions and stats and whatnot has allowed me to become a better fan of the league as a whole. In my more passive days, I had a hard time even paying attention to how teams like Seahawks or Oilers were doing. Fantasy Football was responsible for alot of this as well.

    And good choice Denny, I also fight incredibly dirty.

  • JK

    Since Denny is the only one allowed to highjack posts Ill go with it.

    1. Chuck Norris (duh)
    2. Luke Skywalker (he’s a jedi)
    3. Ray Lewis (need atleast one guy with real expirence)
    4. Anderson Silva (best fighter in the world)
    5. Rodney Dangerfield (RIP – for comedical purposes, and distraction purposes)

  • http://brian23.com Brian

    Well Denny, I would pick the following, and I don’t think the need explanation:

    1) Dennis Quaid
    2) Wade Boggs
    3) Calvin Stadiums
    4) Pink
    5) Don Cheadle

  • JD

    With the NFL season the way it is, there isn’t much else to do BUT try and make a punch of predictions in order to fill the constant hours of ESPN or the vast column space of traditional sports media or blogs.

    The actual “analyzing” of what happened in a given NFL week is usually wrapped up by the following Tuesday, meaning that there’s nothing left to do BUT predict things from Wednesday through Saturday.

    I’d guess that your lack of joy is more tied to the fact that our football team sucks. Bad.

  • Matt

    Just two nights ago I thought the same thing. I would love to see a return to reporting what happened and a return to valuing that kind of journalism. Analysis and prediction are leaven puffing and pluming without boundary. The substance of reporting the event has been (almost?) entirely eclipsed. Maybe all the video saturation has given the impression that verbal reporting is a waste of time (I have never bought into the line that a picture is worth a thousand words). R.I.P., journalism.

  • bobby

    1. Todd Bertuzzi (HE fights dirty)
    2. Shaq (i saw him box this week, not too shabby)
    3. Shaun Rogers (Just tell him theres food in it if he knocks out the other guys)
    4. Pedro Martinez (remember when he threw that old guy to the ground)
    5. Jackie Chan (self explanatory)

  • http://www.waitingfornextyear.com Craig

    I will hijack my own post with you guys… When I did this on facebook my answers were:

    1. Carrot Top
    2. Sloth from Goonies
    3. Daniel Larusso (You’re the best around!)
    4. Hannibal Lecter
    5. Zydrunas Ilgauskas

  • Tron

    @ Craig : I was thinking Carrot Top the whole way! I saw that dude on TV last night, he looks roided out of his mind.

  • Chris M

    1) Fedor Emelianenko – He’s ridiculous
    2) Money Mayweather – He keeps a private jet
    3) Randy Moss – Pays all the legal fines with straight cash, homey
    4) Allen Iverson – Because we’ll need to practice
    5) Pacman Jones – for obvious reasons

  • http://www.waitingfornextyear.com Craig

    Can we just replace the word “roided” with “Shaun Smith’d”?

  • Big TC

    There’s a line between fandom and obsession, and America passed up that line a generation ago. Now, with cheaper, faster, more reliable technology and a plethora of information at our fingertips, we’re able to take it from a obsession to a straight-up pathology. I know plenty of people who could rattle off obscure stats, but who couldn’t tell you their congressional representative’s name if you put a gun to their head. There is something seriously out of whack about this.

    I think this post is right on the money and is probably the most articulate argument against fantasy football and ESPN that I’ve read so far (I know that’s not exactly what Craig was trying to do, but he does it anyway.)

    But nevermind… seems like almost everyone else is too distracted by the mention of a facebook Top 5 list to give this insightful post any serious thought (with, surprise surprise, Denny leading the charge), so I’ll stop now.

  • http://www.waitingfornextyear.com Denny

    @ Big TC: solution: live in DC, where there is no congressional representation – that’s what I did, and my conscience is clear about knowing random sports facts!!

    Very good points that you made, btw. My ADD kicked in when I saw facebook mentioned (OMG I LOVE FACEBOOK).

  • saggy

    I hate the prediction business because nobody ever remembers who is right and wrong. Mel Kiper sucks.

    1. Steven Seagal
    2. Steven Seagal
    3. Steven Seagal
    4. Sho Kosugi
    5. Steven Seagal

    my list starts, and ends, with Steven Seagal. and did you guys see that he has a new TV series coming out soon? I guess he’s a cop (who knew) and he’s bringing in the cameras with him on some busts. I can’t wait to see him kick some real world ass.

  • http:www.clevelandfrowns.com Cleveland Frowns

    It can of course go too far, and pretty much everything out there on cable and in the MSM is complete horsecrap, but analyzing folks’ good ideas about potential outcomes can most certainly help us lend more meaning to what actually happens. It seems we’re worse off if we analyze what actually happed isolated from the context of what was expected to happen, and making predictions serves to help us isolate variables to help us understand what really happened. It helps us watch the games better. When the “experts” are all wrong (including those who make the point spreads) it helps to highlight previously overvalued or undervalued ideas, or at least what those ideas might be. But you have to pay attention to what they’re saying in the first place to get any of that information. To me, it’s one of the most fun things about watching sports.

    Will note in closing that I do plenty of predicting at Frowns, especially of the NFL, and my enjoyment of the NFL grows with each passing year.

  • Dave

    i would have to say that i am guilty, at times, of rooting for my fantasy players if they are playing against the browns…

    thats pretty sad because fantasy sports make it where you root for only the good players and teams which completely eliminates a chance for rooting on the browns and your fantasy team at the same time…unless of course you are that guy who picks all browns, in which case i have an open spot in my league and you are more than welcome to join

  • Eli

    @Big TC, Unfortunately, it seems like this fight was pretty much lost long ago. If you go back to things like TV in the 50′s, you had people complaining that people no longer cared for things that very much affected their own lives.
    Just check out Ed Murrow’s speech about the purpose of tv:
    http://www.turnoffyourtv.com/commentary/hiddenagenda/murrow.html

    People are going to obess over some distraction if they want to do so, in this case it is sports, in others its online video games, or drinking, etc..
    I have a hard time blaming people trying to make a buck off this by offering up as much content as they can to continue and cash in on. Its all about todays entertainment cycle that requires constantly new content to digest nearly around the clock. Just ask the writers here how hard it is to keep putting up articles when all there is to write about is a terrible Indians team and seasons that haven’t started yet.