May 24, 2013

Game 3: Derek Lowe’s Debut

April 8, 2012 by 10 Comments

If the Tribe wants to avoid getting swept by the Blue Jays in this opening weekend series, they’re going to need a strong performance from the 38-year old Derek Lowe.

*gulp*

So their two games thus far, the Indians have gotten great starts out of Justin Masterson and Ubaldo Jimenez, only to watch the bullpen squander the anemic leads the offense managed to procure.

The Tribe faces 25 year old RHP Joel Carreno. He’s fairly untested (just 15 major league innings) so this could be an opportunity for the Indians to get their offense going. What I would give to see the bats wake up and but up some crooked numbers without having to rely on a home run.

Happy Easter everyone. And if you don’t celebrate Easter, well, have a happy Sunday.

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  • Jack

    Chris Perez must go.

  • kjn

    Oh yeah.

  • kjn

    Thank the lord.

  • Ritz

    Oh I know. One blown save is so unacceptable. Just cut him now!!!!

  • akzipper

    I think they should try Pestano out as the closer for a few games, possibly Perez in a set up role. That is if his shaky pitching continues…

  • https://twitter.com/jimkanicki jimkanicki

    i see a lot of perez defending and it’s usually a disparagement of the person critical of perez without any analysis.

    the k/bb ratio is a good indicator of closer effectiveness.  here’s last year’s AL closers (10+ saves) sorted by k/bb:

    SO/BB

    Jonathan Papelbon
    8.7

    Mariano Rivera
    7.5

    Brandon League
    4.5

    Kyle Farnsworth
    4.25

    Joakim Soria
    3.53

    Andrew Bailey
    3.42

    Sergio Santos
    3.17

    Joe Nathan
    3.07

    Frank Francisco
    2.94

    Matt Capps
    2.62

    Jordan Walden
    2.58

    Jon Rauch
    2.57

    Brian Fuentes*
    2.1

    Jose Valverde
    2.03

    Neftali Feliz
    1.8

    Chris Perez
    1.5

    Kevin Gregg
    1.33

    here’s perez’ last three years:

    Year
    SO/BB2009
    3.17

    2010
    2.18

    2011
    1.5

    disturbing trend.  ok.  it happens.  surely he’s been focused on improving this right?  working out hard in the off-season to be in great shape?  trying pitch from ahead in the count?
    YearSO/BB20120.67
    maybe he’ll figure it out.  
    but it’s surely fair to say it doesnt look like he’s moving in the right direction.

  • https://twitter.com/jimkanicki jimkanicki

    i see a lot of perez defending and it’s usually a disparagement of the person critical of perez without any analysis.

    the k/bb ratio is a good indicator of closer effectiveness.  here’s last year’s AL closers (10+ saves) sorted by k/bb:

    SO/BB

    Jonathan Papelbon
    8.7

    Mariano Rivera
    7.5

    Brandon League
    4.5

    Kyle Farnsworth
    4.25

    Joakim Soria
    3.53

    Andrew Bailey
    3.42

    Sergio Santos
    3.17

    Joe Nathan
    3.07

    Frank Francisco
    2.94

    Matt Capps
    2.62

    Jordan Walden
    2.58

    Jon Rauch
    2.57

    Brian Fuentes*
    2.1

    Jose Valverde
    2.03

    Neftali Feliz
    1.8

    Chris Perez
    1.5

    Kevin Gregg
    1.33

    here’s perez’ last three years:

    Year
    SO/BB2009
    3.17

    2010
    2.18

    2011
    1.5

    disturbing trend.  ok.  it happens.  surely he’s been focused on improving this right?  working out hard in the off-season to be in great shape?  trying pitch from ahead in the count?
    YearSO/BB20120.67
    maybe he’ll figure it out.  
    but it’s surely fair to say it doesnt look like he’s moving in the right direction.

  • kjn

    Fangraphs has velocity charts for guys. If you look at Perez’s, you’ll see a real decline from ’08 to ’11 from about 96 to 92.That would explain the shrinking K/BB rate.

  • The_Real_Shamrock

    Perez is a thrower he’s not a pitcher combine that with a personality that’s 100 mph on the field and he was destined for troubles.  That being said he did have an injury which cost him almost his entire spring so I think the Indians should wait a little while longer before making any changes.  Look around the league there are plenty of teams struggling with closers.  Boston comes to mind immediately.  Aceves and Melancon won’t cut it.

  • Ritz

    Cant use stats from this year yet… Just not even close to a good enough sample size for statistics to carry any weight. Gotta wait about a month, then we can start to look at the numbers for 2012.

    Last year’s numbers were disturbing. But lets give it more than a few games before we make any conclusions about this year.