Trade Deadline inactivity hurts Indians’ odds of repeating postseason play

Terry Francona, Chris Antonetti

Terry Francona, Chris Antonetti

The Cleveland Indians went into the trade deadline allegedly looking for a right-handed bat and some starting pitching. Instead, they left with two prospects—having traded away two former All-Stars—who were immediately sent to Triple-A Columbus. Remember all of that “Unfinished Business” stuff? Well, for all of their efforts (or lack thereof) Chris Antonetti’s squad took the biggest hit in baseball when it comes to  the odds of October baseball in 2014.

Biggest Losses in Wild Card Odds

Cleveland Indians: -5.4%
Atlanta Braves: -5.0%
Tampa Bay Rays: -2.4%
Los Angeles Angels: -2.2%
Toronto Blue Jays: -1.7%

The Indians lost and traded away Asdrubal Cabrera, who might not be great but is definitely better than Mike Aviles. They’re punting their season, essentially, not wanting to give up the chance to land some potentially useful assets for a chance to play the Angels or A’s on the road even if they win the second wild card.

If the Wild Card wasn’t enough, the Indians were among the big losers in division odds (which weren’t that great to begin with), and the second worst in championship odds, just a hair behind the Washington Nationals. It should be noted that, from a cost-value standpoint, the trading of Asdrubal Cabrera and Justin Masterson for various pieces have been thought of highly from many around baseball. This said, said deals will not help the Indians win baseball games in the immediate future. Conversely, the Detroit Tigers saw their championship odds jump 2 percent—the highest in baseball—thanks to their acquisition of Cy Young winner David Price coupled with the inaction of those around them. If there’s any silver lining, it’s that the Oakland Athletics still have the best odds overall of winning the World Series, now standing at 4/1 while the Tigers (and Los Angeles Dodgers) are at 5/1.

(AP File Photo/Mark Duncan)

  • Wow

    Only 3 games out of the Wild Card.

  • TNB

    I gotta go back to the something pike 11% odds they had of making the wildcard going into the last month of baseball. They’re odds, but its still a small chance.

  • The_Real_Shamrock

    No brainer in regards to the title brainer but again what exactly did they have to give up? Not much.

  • The_Real_Shamrock

    You aren’t going to update this daily are you?

  • BenRM

    #packingitindians

  • Steve

    I’m pretty sure these assumed that Masterson and Cabrera would provide two extra wins over the rest of the season – Masterson with a 3.48 ERA. I’m not sure we actually lost as much as they think.

  • Wow

    I won’t but only because you asked nicely.

  • The_Real_Shamrock

    Only because saggy wore me down in the other section. But wait a minute, was that comment snarky?

  • The_Real_Shamrock

    No they got something for basically nothing which is a win for the Indians.

  • Pat Leonard

    I had heard that the Indians had a rougher finish to their schedule in August/September than they did last year, but I’m not so sure about that. If they can go .500 or better against their next four opponents (Reds, Yankees, D-Backs, Orioles) then they might be able to make up some ground playing the Royals, White Sox, Twins, Astros, etc.

  • BenRM

    Agreed. Trades weren’t bad. Just not what would have made people excited, like Price to the Tigers.

  • Wow

    Haha not at all.

  • Natedawg86

    Just to clarify, 10 for Boston

  • The_Real_Shamrock

    BoSox playing for next season now. FA should be fun.

  • The_Real_Shamrock

    Indians have never had a Price like trade that I can remember and probably never will. I don’t think they’ll ever have a Lester for Cespedes deal either.

  • Natedawg86

    You can’t compare our trades to those of Tigers/As. We traded Veterans for Minor Leaguers not the other way around. TB didn’t trade Price for a minor leaguer to get better this season

  • markn95

    And they haven’t played a game yet against the Astros, who are a little better than they’ve been the last 3 years or so, but not by much.