May 19, 2013

Prospect ranking turnover shows that Indians might still be bad at drafting

Brad Grant, Indians Director of Amateur Scouting

For the last few years, since making the historic C.C. Sabathia and Cliff Lee trades, the Cleveland Indians have been banking on an improved minor league development system. This improved development had two key aspects: making the most out of the incoming prospects from those two mega-deals and drafting better than the early part of the 2000s.

Quite early on, Indians fans gave up hope on the returns from those two deals. In fact, only 4.5 years since the Sabathia trade and 3.5 since the Lee deal, only Michael Brantley and Carlos Carrasco figure to be cogs on the 2013 Indians, while the futures of back-ups Matt LaPorta, Jason Donald and Lou Marson are in jeopardy.

So moving forward, the key had to be efficient drafting. And while it’s a bit too early to tell, obviously, on draft picks from 2008-12, we can begin to make some conclusions based on what major analysts are saying. If prospects are performing to their expectation and draft position, we’d see them regularly in Indians prospect rankings, but if not or if they performed inconsistently, we’d likely see abnormal turnover in the rankings from year-to-year and analyst-to-analyst.

And as we approach 2013, that’s exactly what we’re seeing. And that’s not good news at all for the future of the Indians franchise. [Read more...]

MLB Draft: Indians Gamble on Young Upside in Day Two

For most sports fans, the MLB draft is a lot a buzz with no real substance. For the dedicated baseball lovers, however, there’s plenty to analyze and share with the public.

Of note in particular, it’s intriguing first to see where the new members of the Cleveland Indians organization will land in the coming 12 months. Of course, fans have enjoyed the quick progressions of prospects drafted in 2008-10, so what does that mean for the class of ’12 (including the pictured RHP Mitchell Brown)?

After that today, I’ll take a look at how the dynamics of being a small-market team have changed with the new MLB draft rules (something TD mentioned briefly yesterday). Draft bonuses are no longer unlimited or even just suggested as they were in the past – there are now strict penalties for going beyond certain spending boundaries. So this clearly changed around the Indians strategy, and this is evident in their top five picks alone.

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Akron Aeros Named Baseball America’s 2009 Minor League Team of the Year

aeros-championship21In 2009, there was not much success from a big league standpoint when it came to the Cleveland Indians.  Thankfully, as Jacob let us know throughout the entire season, there was a lot of success just a quick trip down Route 77 as the Akron Aeros won the Eastern League at the Double-A level.  And given their triumphs in the playoffs as well as the regular season, the Aeros have been named Baseball America’s Minor League Team of the Year for 2009.

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“PTBNL”

Taylor GreenBuckle up, Tribe fans.  That simple acronym in the title is something that you’re bound to see and hear an awful lot about over the foreseeable future.  The missing information on the C.C. Sabathia deal that we’ve talked about nearly all day long – and possibly the most important part – is that Player to be Named Later.

What do we know?  Well, not too much.  From the (live-blogged) press conference from earlier today, Mark Shapiro has until the end of the season to come to terms on said player.  Typically, we tend to case aside all PTBNLs as they’re just throw-ins to even out a deal here and there.  But this one could make or break the ultimate assessment of this huge deal.

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