There are plenty of reasons to be bearish on the Nick Swisher signing that locks him in for at least four years and $56 million, and I think some of the unbridled enthusiasm1 out there might need a wee-bit of tempering before we get too far ahead of ourselves.
For one, he could get hurt. Just because he has a track record of impeccable health—Swisher has played at least 148 games in every season since 2006—doesn’t mean that he’s immune to broken bones or pulled muscles or damaged knees. Perhaps he’s just been lucky. Perhaps he’s due.
There’s also the inherent performance decline associated with players in their middle 30s, especially corner guys whose primary skills comprise power and patience. In other words, guys like Swisher do not tend to age gracefully, and we could end up with a $14 million per year part-time player in 2016 ala Travis Hafner. [Read more...]
- h/t Billy Mumfrey [↩]